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Desportiva Guarabira vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Guarabira play EC de Patos in the Paraibano 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desportiva Guarabira averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. EC de Patos averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Desportiva Guarabira won 0, EC de Patos won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 1, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Desportiva Guarabira and 0.75 for EC de Patos. This points to a EC de Patos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Desportiva Guarabira
28%
Draws
22%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • EC de Patos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Desportiva Guarabira.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Desportiva Guarabira.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paraibano 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 20%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Guarabira EC de Patos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs EC de Patos
0:2
Sep 21, 2023 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs EC de Patos
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Guarabira 49 / 100
EC de Patos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Guarabira EC de Patos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Guarabira scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

EC de Patos let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Desportiva Guarabira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EC de Patos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Guarabira VS EC de Patos
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC de Patos981020:125
2Auto Esporte972020:323
3Spartax951315:916
4Queimadense941419:1313
5Cruzeiro-PB941413:1013
6Picuiense941411:1513
7Desportiva Guarabira93248:1911
8Confianca PB931512:1310
9Sport PB92076:146
10Internacional PB90090:270