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Desportiva Guarabira vs Sport PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 2023 game between Desportiva Guarabira and Sport PB finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Guarabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Guarabira
6%
Draws
4%
Sport PB
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Guarabira come out ahead of Sport PB on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Guarabira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 20%
Sport PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Guarabira Sport PB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Sport PB
1:0
Sep 7, 2023 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Sport PB
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Guarabira 85 / 100
Sport PB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Guarabira Sport PB

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport PB conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Desportiva Guarabira scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Desportiva Guarabira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sport PB's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Guarabira VS Sport PB
1.63 Goals Scored 0.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC de Patos962118:920
2Atletico Cajazeirense961221:819
3Confianca PB960322:1318
4Pombal951312:516
5Spartax943210:815
6Picuiense942313:1214
7Desportiva Guarabira941413:1713
8Sport PB922512:178
9Sabugy91267:125
10Perilima90090:270