Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportivo de Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Tomas T. A. M.

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2025 game between Desportivo de Nacala and ENH Vilankulo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ENH Vilankulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Desportivo de Nacala
40%
Draws
29%
ENH Vilankulo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ENH Vilankulo come out ahead of Desportivo de Nacala on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Desportivo de Nacala Clean Sheet 20%
ENH Vilankulo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo de Nacala ENH Vilankulo
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 2 7
Draws 8 15
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.2 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Mocambola
Desportivo de Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Mocambola
Desportivo de Nacala vs ENH Vilankulo
2:3
Oct 26, 2019 Mocambola
ENH Vilankulo vs Desportivo de Nacala
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo de Nacala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

ENH Vilankulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomas T. A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo de Nacala 32 / 100
ENH Vilankulo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo de Nacala ENH Vilankulo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Desportivo de Nacala found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: ENH Vilankulo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Desportivo de Nacala stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo de Nacala VS ENH Vilankulo
0.2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.38
20% Over 1.5 38%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010