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Desportivo Praia vs Academica Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Desportivo Praia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Desportivo Praia
44%
Draws
20%
Academica Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Porto Novo come out ahead of Desportivo Praia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Academica Porto Novo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Desportivo Praia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Desportivo Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Praia Academica Porto Novo
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Desportivo Praia vs Academica Porto Novo
1:0
Jun 22, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Desportivo Praia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Praia 36 / 100
Academica Porto Novo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Praia Academica Porto Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Praia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Academica Porto Novo has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Desportivo Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Academica Porto Novo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Praia

(Home)
11 Jun
Desportivo Praia
2 : 1
Sporting da Brava
04 Jun
FC Derby
2 : 1
Desportivo Praia
01 Jun
Desportivo Praia
1 : 3
GD Varandinha
28 May
Desportivo Praia
3 : 0
SC Atletico
21 May
Sinagoga
0 : 0
Desportivo Praia
Page 1 of 3

Academica Porto Novo

(Away)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Academica do Fogo1
Mindelense2
Desportivo Praia1
Academica Porto Novo3
Final
Mindelense5
Academica Porto Novo2