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Stadium Background

Desportivo U20 vs Aguai U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Joao Pedro
37' Event
Manoel C.
44' Event
Cristiano

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Desportivo U20 and Aguai U20 finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Desportivo U20
20%
Draws
0%
Aguai U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportivo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguai U20 haven't matched Desportivo U20's recent run of results.
  • Desportivo U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Aguai U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo U20 Aguai U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Aguai U20
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
4 Goals
Assists Leader Manoel C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Aguai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Albuquerque G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo U20 95 / 100
Aguai U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo U20 Aguai U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportivo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguai U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Difficult form: Aguai U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Desportivo U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo U20 VS Aguai U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
2 : 4
Desportivo U20
12 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
1 : 1
Desportivo U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
21 Aug
Ibrachina U20
3 : 0
Desportivo U20
14 Aug
Desportivo U20
1 : 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20
Page 1 of 6

Aguai U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Aguai U20
0 : 2
Santo Andre U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20
07 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)