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Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Angelo Candido

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Desportivo U20 and Sao Paulo U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Desportivo U20
30%
Draws
51%
Sao Paulo U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Paulo U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sao Paulo U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo U20 Sao Paulo U20
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.39 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
4:3
Oct 20, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
6:0
Oct 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
1:1
Sep 3, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Desportivo U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo Candido
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo U20 34 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo U20 Sao Paulo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Desportivo U20 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Desportivo U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Paulo U20 let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo U20 VS Sao Paulo U20
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Desportivo U20
1 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
19 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
2 : 4
Desportivo U20
12 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
1 : 1
Desportivo U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
21 Aug
Ibrachina U20
3 : 0
Desportivo U20
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)