Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dessel vs Houtvenne Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mathei J.
44' Event
Ngoyi J.
46' Event
Troonbeeckx M.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Dessel and Houtvenne finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dessel
20%
Draws
42%
Houtvenne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houtvenne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Houtvenne haven't matched Dessel's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dessel taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Houtvenne have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%
Houtvenne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel Houtvenne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Houtvenne vs Dessel
5:0
Feb 21, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Houtvenne
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Houtvenne vs Dessel
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngoyi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Houtvenne Compare

Top Goalscorer Vandekerkhove Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baik S. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 40 / 100
Houtvenne 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel Houtvenne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houtvenne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dessel scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Dessel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS Houtvenne
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 6

Houtvenne

(Away)
03 Oct
Hoogstraten
3 : 0
Houtvenne
30 Sept
Houtvenne
2 : 1
Mandel United
26 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
5 : 0
Houtvenne
20 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
Houtvenne
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)