Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dessel vs Houtvenne

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mathei J.
44' Event
Ngoyi J.
46' Event
Troonbeeckx M.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Dessel and Houtvenne finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dessel
20%
Draws
23%
Houtvenne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Very High Confidence
  • Houtvenne haven't matched Dessel's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Dessel taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%
Houtvenne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel Houtvenne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Houtvenne
3:2
Dec 6, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Houtvenne vs Dessel
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ngoyi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Houtvenne Compare

Top Goalscorer Vandekerkhove Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baik S. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 56 / 100
Houtvenne 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel Houtvenne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dessel scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Houtvenne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dessel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS Houtvenne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
28 Mar
Dessel
3 : 1
Zelzate
21 Mar
Dessel
4 : 3
Knokke
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Houtvenne

(Away)
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
19 Apr
Houtvenne
0 : 1
Hasselt
11 Apr
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Houtvenne
28 Mar
Houtvenne
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
21 Mar
Ninove
1 : 3
Houtvenne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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