Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Keyworth Stadium

Lexington

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Detroit City play Lexington in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Detroit City averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Lexington averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Detroit City won 0, Lexington won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Detroit City and 1.69 for Lexington. This points to a Lexington double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Detroit City

15%

Draws

46%

Lexington

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Detroit City picked up more points recently compared to Lexington.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Detroit City Clean Sheet 13%

Lexington Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Detroit City	Lexington
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	12	12
Draws	8	4
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.27	1.74
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 USL Cup

Detroit City vs Lexington

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sep 20, 2025 USL Championship

Detroit City vs Lexington

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly

Lexington vs Detroit City

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Detroit City Compare

Top Goalscorer Montgomery C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Lexington Compare

Top Goalscorer Blessing L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Detroit City 38 / 100

Lexington 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Detroit City Lexington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lexington or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Detroit City attacking → ← attacking Lexington

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Detroit City scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Lexington let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Detroit City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lexington lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 40

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacramento Republic	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Spokane Velocity	3	2	1	3:5	6
3	Athletic Club Boise	3	2	1	7:6	5
4	Oakland Roots	3	1	2	3:3	4
5	Monterey Bay	3	1	2	6:7	3
6	Las Vegas Lights	3	0	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado Springs	3	3	0	7:1	9
2	El Paso Locomotive	3	2	1	5:3	6
3	New Mexico	3	2	1	6:5	6
4	AV Alta FC	3	1	2	3:5	3
5	Phoenix Rising	3	1	2	2:6	3
6	Orange County SC	3	0	3	3:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Antonio FC	3	3	0	4:1	8
2	Birmingham Legion	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	One Knoxville	3	2	1	4:3	4
4	FC Tulsa	3	1	2	3:4	4
5	Corpus Christi FC	3	1	2	1:4	3
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3	0	3	2:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	3	3	0	9:2	8
2	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	7:4	7
3	Lexington	3	2	1	6:4	6
4	Union Omaha	3	2	1	7:8	6
5	Detroit City	3	1	2	2:3	5
6	Fort Wayne	3	0	3	5:10	1
7	Forward Madison	3	0	3	2:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Hartford Athletic	3	2	1	6:2	7
2	Brooklyn FC	3	2	1	8:3	6
3	Rhode Island	3	2	1	5:2	5
4	Portland Hearts of Pine	3	1	2	5:9	4
5	New York Cosmos	3	1	2	4:9	3
6	Westchester SC	3	1	2	5:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Charleston	3	3	0	7:1	8
2	Charlotte Independence	3	3	0	5:2	8
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3	1	2	4:3	5
4	Loudoun United	3	1	2	4:5	3
5	Greenville Triumph	3	1	2	3:5	3
6	Richmond Kickers	3	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Miami FC	3	2	1	6:5	6
3	Sporting Jax	4	1	3	3:5	4
4	Sarasota Paradise	3	1	2	2:4	3
5	FC Naples	3	1	2	3:7	2