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Detroit City vs Forward Madison

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Detroit City play Forward Madison in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Detroit City averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Forward Madison averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Detroit City won 1, Forward Madison won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Detroit City and 1.19 for Forward Madison. This points to a Detroit City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Detroit City
21%
Draws
35%
Forward Madison
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Detroit City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Detroit City picked up more points recently compared to Forward Madison.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 20%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Detroit City Forward Madison
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 USL Cup
Forward Madison vs Detroit City
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Detroit City vs Forward Madison
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Detroit City 44 / 100
Forward Madison 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Detroit City Forward Madison

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Detroit City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Detroit City attacking → ← attacking Forward Madison

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Detroit City scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Forward Madison let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Detroit City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Forward Madison lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 40
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38