Sport Picks
Detroit City vs Louisville City
USA
USL Championship Keyworth Stadium, Hamtramck, MI 
Match Events
38'
38'
Moguel C.
Own Goal
39'
39'
Adams K.
43'
43'
Egbuchulam C.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Detroit City and Louisville City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Detroit City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Louisville City carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 68%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Detroit City | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 USL Cup
Detroit City vs Louisville City
0:1
May 2, 2026 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Louisville City
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Detroit City
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Louisville City
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Detroit City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Detroit City Compare
Top Goalscorer Rutz C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Louisville City Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Detroit City 41 / 100
Louisville City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Detroit City Louisville City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Detroit City found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Louisville City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Detroit City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Detroit City VS Louisville City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Detroit City
(Home) 18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Fort Wayne
1 : 2 Detroit City
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Detroit City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
13 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 6 Detroit City
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
10 Jun
Detroit City
1 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
06 Jun
Detroit City
1 : 2 Lexington
21 May
Detroit City
2 : 1 Miami FC
Page 1 of 3
Louisville City
(Away) 18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
14 Jun
Louisville City
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
11 Jun
Phoenix Rising
0 : 2 Louisville City
04 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Louisville City
23 May
Miami FC
4 : 3 Louisville City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Charleston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:22 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Lexington | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Oakland Roots | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 10 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)