Sport Picks
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Keyworth Stadium, Hamtramck, MI 
Match Events
20'
20'
Yamazaki H.
36'
36'
Diouf A.
45'
45'
Diouf A.
AI Match Summary
Detroit City in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Detroit City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Detroit City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tampa Bay have won more games recently than Detroit City.
- Win probability leans Detroit City's way, sitting at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 68%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Detroit City | Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Detroit City
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Tampa Bay
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 USL Championship
Tampa Bay vs Detroit City
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Detroit City Compare
Top Goalscorer Diouf A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Tampa Bay Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Detroit City 59 / 100
Tampa Bay 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Detroit City Tampa Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Detroit City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Detroit City found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Detroit City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Tampa Bay has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Detroit City VS Tampa Bay
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Detroit City
(Home) 03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
30 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Detroit City
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0 Colorado Springs
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Detroit City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0 Colorado Springs
19 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
05 Sept
Detroit City
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
22 Aug
Detroit City
1 : 0 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
Tampa Bay
(Away) 03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1 Tampa Bay
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Tampa Bay
22 Aug
Detroit City
1 : 0 Tampa Bay
09 Aug
Orange County SC
0 : 3 Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
