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Deveronvale vs Nairn County

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deveronvale play Nairn County in the Highland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deveronvale averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Nairn County averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Deveronvale won 1, Nairn County won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Deveronvale and 1.96 for Nairn County. This points to a Nairn County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Deveronvale
20%
Draws
46%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Deveronvale picked up more points recently compared to Nairn County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.96 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Deveronvale Clean Sheet 10%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deveronvale Nairn County
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.17 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Highland League
Deveronvale vs Nairn County
1:6
Jul 30, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Deveronvale
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Deveronvale
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Highland League
Deveronvale vs Nairn County
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Deveronvale
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deveronvale 33 / 100
Nairn County 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deveronvale Nairn County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nairn County or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deveronvale attacking → ← attacking Nairn County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deveronvale scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Nairn County let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Deveronvale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nairn County lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 37
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
3.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

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1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
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3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
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6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
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11Huntly3411101346:4343
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14Deveronvale341141946:8737
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