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Devnya 2005 vs Chernomorets Balchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Devnya 2005 host Chernomorets Balchik in the Third League - North-East. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Chernomorets Balchik have shipped 0.6 goals a game lately, while Devnya 2005 have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.11. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.81, favoring Chernomorets Balchik. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Devnya 2005
15%
Draws
37%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devnya 2005

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chernomorets Balchik lately — more wins on the board than Devnya 2005.
  • Devnya 2005 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 11%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devnya 2005 Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 4 23
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.11 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devnya 2005 47 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devnya 2005 Chernomorets Balchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devnya 2005 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devnya 2005 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Devnya 2005 scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets Balchik conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

Chernomorets Balchik's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Devnya 2005 VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Devnya 2005

(Home)
17 Oct
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
10 Oct
Septemvri Dragoevo
0 : 2
Devnya 2005
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
3 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 2

Chernomorets Balchik

(Away)
18 Oct
Benkovski
2 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
10 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 0 8 5:23 0
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