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Devonport vs Launceston City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Payne J.
14' Event
Tollervey J.
45' Event
Jolivet I.

AI Match Summary

Devonport in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Devonport
15%
Draws
21%
Launceston City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Launceston City lately — more wins on the board than Devonport.
  • Model gives Devonport a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Devonport have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Devonport Clean Sheet 18%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Launceston City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 3.03 3
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston City
6:0
May 24, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
4:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston City
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Devonport
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Payne J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tollervey J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Launceston City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 85 / 100
Launceston City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Launceston City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Launceston City conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Devonport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Launceston City
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
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Launceston City

(Away)
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
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