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Devonport vs Riverside Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Denehey B.
32' Event
Tollervey J.
43' Event
Last B.

AI Match Summary

Devonport host Riverside Olympic in the NPL Tasmania. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Devonport at 2.25 goals for, 1.25 against; Riverside Olympic at 1.5 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Devonport have won 5 to Riverside Olympic's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Devonport. Devonport in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Devonport
17%
Draws
13%
Riverside Olympic
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Devonport has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Riverside Olympic.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Devonport.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Devonport Clean Sheet 17%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Riverside Olympic
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Riverside Olympic
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Devonport
0:3
Aug 20, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Devonport
1:5
May 24, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Devonport
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Riverside Olympic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Denehey B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tollervey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Riverside Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 66 / 100
Riverside Olympic 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Riverside Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Riverside Olympic let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Devonport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Riverside Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Riverside Olympic
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%