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Devonport vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Devonport host South Hobart in the NPL Tasmania. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Devonport at 2.38 goals for, 1.38 against; South Hobart at 4 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor South Hobart slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.69) point toward South Hobart. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Devonport
44%
Draws
20%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Hobart come out ahead of Devonport on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport South Hobart
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 17 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.38 4
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
0:3
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
2:2
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
2:2
Aug 24, 2024 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 34 / 100
South Hobart 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport South Hobart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Devonport scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

South Hobart has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Solid form: Devonport remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS South Hobart
2.38 Goals Scored 4
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%