Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Devonport vs South Hobart Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Walter A.
23' Event
Berezansky S.
50' Event
Kemp K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Devonport and South Hobart finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Devonport
15%
Draws
42%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Hobart come out ahead of Devonport on wins alone.
  • Devonport are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South Hobart have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Devonport Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport South Hobart
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 19 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 3.03 3.06
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
0:3
Jul 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
1:3
May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Walter A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berezansky S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 47 / 100
South Hobart 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Devonport scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: South Hobart conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Devonport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS South Hobart
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
Page 1 of 6

South Hobart

(Away)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
Page 1 of 7