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Dewa United vs Bali United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Indomilk Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dewa United play Bali United in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dewa United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Bali United averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Dewa United won 1, Bali United won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Dewa United and 1.50 for Bali United. This points to a Dewa United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dewa United
33%
Draws
31%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Dewa United picked up more points recently compared to Bali United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 16%
Bali United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dewa United Bali United
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Super League
Dewa United vs Bali United
0:1
Dec 29, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Dewa United
0:0
Apr 10, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Dewa United
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs Bali United
1:0
Dec 8, 2023 Super League
Dewa United vs Bali United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Agung K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 36 / 100
Bali United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dewa United Bali United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dewa United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dewa United attacking → ← attacking Bali United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dewa United scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Bali United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Dewa United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bali United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 46
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518