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Stadium Background

Dewa United vs Manila Digger

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Indomilk Arena, Tangerang
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Kuipers N.
35' Event
Gai P. O.
Assist: Joof M.
46'
Prasetyo W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dewa United
20%
Draws
40%
Manila Digger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Manila Digger have won more games recently than Dewa United.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Manila Digger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 19%
Manila Digger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dewa United Manila Digger
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.55 3.66
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Dewa United vs Manila Digger
2:2
Mar 5, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Manila Digger vs Dewa United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Manila Digger Compare

Top Goalscorer Gai P. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joof M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 36 / 100
Manila Digger 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dewa United Manila Digger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manila Digger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dewa United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Dewa United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Manila Digger conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dewa United VS Manila Digger
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dewa United

(Home)
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
Page 1 of 6

Manila Digger

(Away)
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
31 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 0
Manila Digger
30 May
Manila Digger
1 : 1
Taguig
27 May
Kaya FC
0 : 3
Manila Digger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Ansar 0
Muras United 3
Al-Shabab 3
Al Kuwait 5
Svay Rieng 6
Phnom Penh Crown 2
Dewa United 2
Manila Digger 3
Semi-finals
Muras United 1
Al Kuwait 2
Svay Rieng 4
Manila Digger 1
Final
Al Kuwait 4
Svay Rieng 3