Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Indomilk Arena, Tangerang

Dewa United

1 - 1

Phnom Penh Crown

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Bong S. In: Long P.

Out: Bong S.

60'

Dyer M.

63'

Sub

Mbarga P. In: Bagaskara S.

Out: Mbarga P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Dewa United

30%

Draws

32%

Phnom Penh Crown

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Dewa United lately — more wins on the board than Phnom Penh Crown.
Dewa United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Dewa United Clean Sheet 20%

Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dewa United	Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.57	1.53
Goals Conceded	0.77	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.46	1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 AFC Challenge League

Dewa United vs Phnom Penh Crown

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Vikri E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.12

Avg xA / game 0.73

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyer M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.05

Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 58 / 100

Phnom Penh Crown 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dewa United Phnom Penh Crown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dewa United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dewa United scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Phnom Penh Crown conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dewa United VS Phnom Penh Crown

1.63 Goals Scored 1.57

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29

50% Over 1.5 86%

50% Over 2.5 71%

25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Dewa United

(Home)

20 Sept

Dewa United

2 : 1

PSS Sleman

16 Sept

Borneo

1 : 3

Dewa United

11 Sept

Dewa United

2 : 2

FC Bhayangkara

05 Sept

Persik Kediri

0 : 1

Dewa United

27 Aug

Dewa United

4 : 0

Brisbane Roar

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Phnom Penh Crown

(Away)

17 Sept

Phnom Penh Crown

2 : 1

Kuching City FC

12 Sept

Angkor Tiger

2 : 2

Phnom Penh Crown

05 Sept

Phnom Penh Crown

2 : 2

NagaWorld

17 May

Svay Rieng

1 : 2

Phnom Penh Crown

10 May

Phnom Penh Crown

3 : 0

NagaWorld

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