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Diagoras FC vs Apollon Smyrnis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
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AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Diagoras FC
20%
Draws
65%
Apollon Smyrnis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Apollon Smyrnis have won more games recently than Diagoras FC.
  • Win probability leans Apollon Smyrnis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Diagoras FC Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diagoras FC Apollon Smyrnis
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Diagoras FC vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:2
Apr 22, 2007 Football League 2 - Group 1
Apollon Smyrnis vs Diagoras FC
1:1
Nov 19, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1
Diagoras FC vs Apollon Smyrnis
2:2
Feb 1, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1
Diagoras FC vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0
Sep 25, 2005 Football League 2 - Group 1
Apollon Smyrnis vs Diagoras FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diagoras FC 10 / 100
Apollon Smyrnis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diagoras FC Apollon Smyrnis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diagoras FC scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Apollon Smyrnis has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Diagoras FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diagoras FC VS Apollon Smyrnis
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diagoras FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Ionikos
0 : 0
Diagoras FC
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
08 Apr
Diagoras FC
2 : 2
AO Karystou
05 Apr
E. Asteras
4 : 1
Diagoras FC
02 Apr
Diagoras FC
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
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Apollon Smyrnis

(Away)
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Apollon Smyrnis 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Doxa Vyronas 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Amfiali 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Afantou 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Ionikos 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
8 Diagoras FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 PAO Rouf 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Ialisos 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 AO Proodeftiki 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
12 Apollon Kalythion 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)