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Diamond Harbour vs Dempo

India India

I-League Naihati Stadium, Naihati
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Kouakou A.
35'
Mittal M.
38'
Majcen L.

AI Match Summary

The I-League game between Diamond Harbour and Dempo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diamond Harbour.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Diamond Harbour
11%
Draws
9%
Dempo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Diamond Harbour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diamond Harbour come out ahead of Dempo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Diamond Harbour's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular I-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Diamond Harbour Clean Sheet 18%
Dempo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diamond Harbour Dempo
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 4 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 I-League
Dempo vs Diamond Harbour
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 I-League
Diamond Harbour vs Dempo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diamond Harbour Compare

Top Goalscorer Moyano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Joseph M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diamond Harbour 76 / 100
Dempo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diamond Harbour Dempo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diamond Harbour scored in 89% of their last 37 games.

Dempo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Diamond Harbour stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diamond Harbour VS Dempo
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Diamond Harbour

(Home)
23 May
Diamond Harbour
0 : 3
Lajong
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
08 May
Diamond Harbour
5 : 2
Rajasthan United
03 May
Diamond Harbour
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
25 Apr
Chanmari
0 : 2
Diamond Harbour
Page 1 of 8

Dempo

(Away)
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
26 Apr
Lajong
0 : 0
Dempo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diamond Harbour971122:1222
2Lajong952216:917
3Rajasthan United952213:1017
4Sreenidi Deccan943210:815
5Chanmari932414:1511
6Dempo923414:149
7Aizawl FC923413:229
8Real Kashmir922515:148
9Gokulam922511:188
10Namdhari914412:187
Promotion - I-League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - I-League (Relegation Group)