Sport Picks

Sierra Leone

Premier League

Bai Bureh Warriors

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Diamond Stars play Bai Bureh Warriors in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Diamond Stars averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Bai Bureh Warriors averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. In past meetings, Diamond Stars won 1, Bai Bureh Warriors won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Diamond Stars and 1.06 for Bai Bureh Warriors. This points to a Bai Bureh Warriors double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Diamond Stars

31%

Draws

39%

Bai Bureh Warriors

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Bai Bureh Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Diamond Stars picked up more points recently compared to Bai Bureh Warriors.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Diamond Stars Clean Sheet 22%

Bai Bureh Warriors Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Diamond Stars	Bai Bureh Warriors
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	11
Draws	7	14
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	0.93	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.03	0.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League

Diamond Stars vs Bai Bureh Warriors

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jul 12, 2025 Premier League

Bai Bureh Warriors vs Diamond Stars

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Mar 23, 2025 Premier League

Diamond Stars vs Bai Bureh Warriors

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

May 26, 2024 Premier League

Diamond Stars vs Bai Bureh Warriors

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Jan 13, 2024 Premier League

Bai Bureh Warriors vs Diamond Stars

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diamond Stars 31 / 100

Bai Bureh Warriors 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Diamond Stars Bai Bureh Warriors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bai Bureh Warriors or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +28.5%

4.76

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Diamond Stars attacking → ← attacking Bai Bureh Warriors

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diamond Stars scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Bai Bureh Warriors let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Diamond Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bai Bureh Warriors lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 47

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bo Rangers	33	17	13	3	39:19	64
2	Star Sport Academy	33	16	12	5	44:21	60
3	Bai Bureh Warriors	33	14	15	4	38:17	57
4	Old Edwardians	33	13	13	7	39:23	52
5	East End Lions	33	12	14	7	50:36	50
6	Ports Authority	33	12	12	9	35:30	48
7	Kamboi Eagles	33	13	6	14	33:36	45
8	Kallon	33	12	7	14	38:47	43
9	Bullom Stars	33	12	6	15	30:42	42
10	Bhantal	33	8	16	9	38:28	40
11	Wilberforce Strikers	33	8	16	9	26:30	40
12	Wusum Stars	33	11	7	15	23:35	40
13	Diamond Stars	33	10	9	14	31:37	39
14	Mighty Blackpool	33	9	11	13	27:37	38
15	SLIFA	33	9	10	14	36:41	37
16	Abacha City	33	8	12	13	26:38	36
17	Luawa	33	8	9	16	22:41	33
18	Freetown City (FCFC)	33	6	10	17	30:47	28