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Diarra vs ASKO Kara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Samake M.
28' Event
Traore M.
41' Event
Seydou Sidibe B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Diarra
20%
Draws
48%
ASKO Kara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASKO Kara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASKO Kara come out ahead of Diarra on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • ASKO Kara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Diarra, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Diarra Clean Sheet 11%
ASKO Kara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra ASKO Kara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
ASKO Kara vs Diarra
1:0
Oct 18, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Diarra vs ASKO Kara
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

ASKO Kara Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpaho M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahovey A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 30 / 100
ASKO Kara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra ASKO Kara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASKO Kara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diarra scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Diarra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASKO Kara has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS ASKO Kara
1.38 Goals Scored 2.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
02 Nov
Diarra
0 : 0
Djoliba
25 Oct
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
Diarra
18 Oct
Diarra
3 : 2
ASKO Kara
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
Page 1 of 6

ASKO Kara

(Away)
25 Oct
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
Diarra
18 Oct
Diarra
3 : 2
ASKO Kara
13 Sept
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
AS ZAM
05 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 5
ASKO Kara
30 May
ASKO Kara
3 : 0
Barracuda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara 1
Al Ahly 6
ZED FC 1
Azam 2
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Al Ahly Tripoli 8
Tusker 1
Singida Black Stars 2
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo 1
FAR Rabat 2
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Raja Casablanca 4
Academie de FAD 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Real Bamako 5
Diarra 3
ASKO Kara 3
Kabuscorp 2
AS Maniema 8
Red Arrows 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Durban City 6
Port Louis 1
Rayon Sport 2
Associacao Black Bulls 4
Virunga 1
Primeiro de Agosto 3