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Diarra vs ASKO Kara

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Confederation Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Diarra have averaged 1.17 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against ASKO Kara's 1.57 scored and 0.67 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.80 xG vs 1.72) point toward ASKO Kara. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Diarra
20%
Draws
52%
ASKO Kara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASKO Kara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASKO Kara come out ahead of Diarra on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on ASKO Kara taking it.
  • ASKO Kara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Diarra Clean Sheet 12%
ASKO Kara Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra ASKO Kara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 22 / 100
ASKO Kara 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra ASKO Kara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASKO Kara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diarra scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Diarra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASKO Kara let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS ASKO Kara
0.75 Goals Scored 2.43
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

ASKO Kara

(Away)
13 Sept
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
AS ZAM
05 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 5
ASKO Kara
30 May
ASKO Kara
3 : 0
Barracuda
24 May
Semassi
2 : 2
ASKO Kara
17 May
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
Etoile Filante
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -