Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diarra vs Binga

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Diarra Logo

Diarra

1 - 0
FT
Binga Logo

Binga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Diarra and Binga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Diarra
20%
Draws
29%
Binga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Diarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Diarra's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%
Binga Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Binga
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.12 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Binga
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs Diarra
1:1
Mar 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs Diarra
0:4
Dec 1, 2024 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Binga
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 59 / 100
Binga 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Binga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diarra found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Diarra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Binga has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Binga
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 7

Binga

(Away)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)