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Diarra vs Djoliba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Diarra and Djoliba finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Diarra
35%
Draws
25%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djoliba come out ahead of Diarra on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Djoliba
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 15 21
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.16 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Djoliba
0:0
Jun 5, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Djoliba
1:2
May 30, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Diarra vs Djoliba
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Diarra
0:0
Jun 3, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Diarra
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 41 / 100
Djoliba 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Djoliba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diarra found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Diarra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Djoliba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Djoliba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
02 Nov
Diarra
0 : 0
Djoliba
25 Oct
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
Diarra
18 Oct
Diarra
3 : 2
ASKO Kara
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
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Djoliba

(Away)
02 Nov
Diarra
0 : 0
Djoliba
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Binga 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Derby Academie 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Bakaridjan 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Stade Malien 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Djoliba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Onze Createurs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Bougouba 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Diarra 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 AS Kayes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 CS Bamako 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Korofina 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Foot Elite 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Real Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 USFAS Bamako 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)