Sport Picks
Diarra vs Nations FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
CAF Confederation Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nations FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Diarra at 1.17 per game, Nations FC at 0.97.
- Win probability leans Diarra's way, sitting at 36%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Diarra, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Diarra Clean Sheet 20%
Nations FC Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Diarra | Nations FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nations FC vs Diarra
1:1
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Diarra vs Nations FC
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Diarra 36 / 100
Nations FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Diarra Nations FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Diarra scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Solid form: Diarra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Nations FC let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Diarra VS Nations FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Diarra
(Home) 13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1 Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0 Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2 Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6 Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2 Djoliba
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0 Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2 Stade Malien
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2 Djoliba
30 May
Diarra
0 : 2 Djoliba
25 May
Diarra
0 : 0 Korofina
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Nations FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Nations FC
2 : 0 Elmina Sharks
04 Oct
Soccer Intellectuals
0 : 0 Nations FC
26 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1 Pro-Sports Academy
19 Sept
Ebiemo FC
0 : 1 Nations FC
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1 Diarra
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Soccer Intellectuals
0 : 0 Nations FC
19 Sept
Ebiemo FC
0 : 1 Nations FC
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0 Nations FC
30 Aug
Medeama
2 : 0 Nations FC
31 May
Dreams FC
1 : 2 Nations FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -
