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Diarra vs USFAS Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Diarra Logo

Diarra

1 - 2
FT
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

USFAS Bamako in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored USFAS Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Diarra
15%
Draws
37%
USFAS Bamako
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Diarra have won more games recently than USFAS Bamako.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Diarra taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra USFAS Bamako
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Coupe du Mali
USFAS Bamako vs Diarra
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs USFAS Bamako
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Diarra
2:1
May 10, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Diarra
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs USFAS Bamako
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 59 / 100
USFAS Bamako 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra USFAS Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diarra found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

USFAS Bamako has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Diarra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS USFAS Bamako
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
02 Jun
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Diarra
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USFAS Bamako

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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