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Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Nasr

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dibba Al Fujairah play Al Nasr in the UAE League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dibba Al Fujairah averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Al Nasr averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Dibba Al Fujairah won 3, Al Nasr won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Dibba Al Fujairah and 2.00 for Al Nasr. This points to a Al Nasr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dibba Al Fujairah
33%
Draws
40%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Dibba Al Fujairah picked up more points recently compared to Al Nasr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Dibba Al Fujairah Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dibba Al Fujairah Al Nasr
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Nasr
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Dibba Al Fujairah
1:1
Apr 24, 2023 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Nasr
2:1
Dec 19, 2022 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Dibba Al Fujairah
0:1
Mar 30, 2019 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Nasr
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dibba Al Fujairah Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlinhos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dibba Al Fujairah 26 / 100
Al Nasr 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dibba Al Fujairah Al Nasr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Nasr or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dibba Al Fujairah attacking → ← attacking Al Nasr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dibba Al Fujairah scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Nasr let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Dibba Al Fujairah went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Nasr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 45
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520