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Diefflen vs Ahrweiler - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Diefflen host Ahrweiler in the Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Diefflen have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.47 conceded recently, against Ahrweiler's 0.83 scored and 2.52 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.06) point toward Diefflen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Diefflen
30%
Draws
31%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diefflen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Diefflen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Diefflen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Diefflen Clean Sheet 10%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diefflen Ahrweiler
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.6 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diefflen 47 / 100
Ahrweiler 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diefflen Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diefflen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahrweiler's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Diefflen's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Diefflen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ahrweiler lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diefflen VS Ahrweiler
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Diefflen

(Home)
17 Oct
Mechtersheim
2 : 1
Diefflen
10 Oct
Diefflen
3 : 3
Worms
02 Oct
Hertha Wiesbach
1 : 1
Diefflen
26 Sept
Diefflen
3 : 1
TuS Koblenz
20 Sept
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
3 : 0
Diefflen
Page 1 of 6

Ahrweiler

(Away)
18 Oct
Ahrweiler
0 : 3
Elversberg II
09 Oct
Mechtersheim
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
04 Oct
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Pirmasens
26 Sept
Worms
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
18 Sept
Ahrweiler
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mechtersheim 13 9 1 3 32:20 28
2 Schott Mainz 13 7 5 1 29:14 26
3 Gonsenheim 13 8 1 4 31:15 25
4 Pirmasens 13 7 3 3 39:20 24
5 Engers 13 6 4 3 32:23 22
6 Worms 13 6 3 4 38:25 21
7 RW Wittlich 12 6 3 3 30:22 21
8 TuS Koblenz 13 6 3 4 23:20 21
9 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 13 5 5 3 25:18 20
10 TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim 12 6 2 4 23:18 20
11 Emmelshausen-Karbach 13 5 4 4 21:25 19
12 Elversberg II 13 4 4 5 19:26 16
13 Hertha Wiesbach 13 4 3 6 21:29 15
14 Auersmacher 13 5 0 8 21:31 15
15 Cosmos Koblenz 13 4 1 8 22:27 13
16 Diefflen 13 2 3 8 19:39 9
17 Ahrweiler 13 1 4 8 10:24 7
18 Eisbachtal 13 0 1 12 6:45 1
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)