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Diegem vs Esperanza Pelt Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Second Amateur Division Group VFV B 2024/2025 game between Diegem and Esperanza Pelt finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diegem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Diegem
30%
Draws
31%
Esperanza Pelt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diegem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diegem come out ahead of Esperanza Pelt on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Diegem taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Diegem Clean Sheet 12%
Esperanza Pelt Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diegem Esperanza Pelt
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Diegem vs Esperanza Pelt
3:2
Nov 16, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Esperanza Pelt vs Diegem
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diegem 38 / 100
Esperanza Pelt 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diegem Esperanza Pelt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diegem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diegem's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Esperanza Pelt let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Diegem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diegem VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diegem

(Home)
30 Sept
De Kempen
1 : 1
Diegem
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
20 Sept
Diegem
2 : 2
Bocholter
13 Sept
St. Truiden 2
6 : 2
Diegem
06 Sept
Diegem
5 : 2
Eendracht Termien
Page 1 of 7

Esperanza Pelt

(Away)
27 Apr
Wellen
0 : 4
Esperanza Pelt
12 Apr
Esperanza Pelt
0 : 2
Boom
05 Apr
Hades
2 : 1
Esperanza Pelt
29 Mar
Esperanza Pelt
1 : 1
Koninklijk Berchem Sport
23 Mar
Diegem
3 : 2
Esperanza Pelt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 30 19 8 3 69:27 65
2 Boom 30 19 8 3 53:20 65
3 Diegem 30 18 8 4 66:33 62
4 Eendracht Termien 30 14 6 10 59:49 48
5 KV Mechelen 2 30 13 7 10 56:44 46
6 KRC Mechelen 30 12 10 8 47:45 46
7 Hades 30 13 5 12 40:42 44
8 Berg en Dal 30 12 5 13 42:48 41
9 St. Truiden 2 30 8 10 12 50:43 34
10 Koninklijk Berchem Sport 30 8 10 12 37:49 34
11 KSK Tongeren 30 8 8 14 27:41 32
12 Wellen 30 8 8 14 37:56 32
13 Bocholter 30 8 7 15 50:59 31
14 Lille United 30 9 3 18 40:67 30
15 Esperanza Pelt 30 6 11 13 35:45 29
16 Wezel Sport 30 4 8 18 38:78 20
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2024/2025 (Relegation)