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Difaa El Jadidi vs Moghreb Tetouan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Difaa El Jadidi host Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Difaa El Jadidi have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Moghreb Tetouan's 1.03 scored and 0.66 conceded. Head-to-head, Difaa El Jadidi have won 2 to Moghreb Tetouan's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2025, ending 1:3. xG projections (0.75 - 1.13) back Moghreb Tetouan to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Difaa El Jadidi
35%
Draws
53%
Moghreb Tetouan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moghreb Tetouan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moghreb Tetouan come out ahead of Difaa El Jadidi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moghreb Tetouan a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet 20%
Moghreb Tetouan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Difaa El Jadidi Moghreb Tetouan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 12
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.18 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Botola Pro
Moghreb Tetouan vs Difaa El Jadidi
1:3
Oct 22, 2024 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Moghreb Tetouan
1:0
Apr 3, 2023 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Moghreb Tetouan
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 Botola Pro
Moghreb Tetouan vs Difaa El Jadidi
1:1
May 18, 2021 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Moghreb Tetouan
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Difaa El Jadidi 10 / 100
Moghreb Tetouan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Difaa El Jadidi Moghreb Tetouan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moghreb Tetouan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difaa El Jadidi found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Moghreb Tetouan let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Difaa El Jadidi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Difaa El Jadidi VS Moghreb Tetouan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Difaa El Jadidi

(Home)
03 Oct
Difaa El Jadidi
0 : 2
Wydad Athletic
26 Sept
Difaa El Jadidi
2 : 6
COD Meknes
09 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 1
Difaa El Jadidi
05 Jul
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 3
Berkane
02 Jul
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 2
Difaa El Jadidi
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Moghreb Tetouan

(Away)
09 Oct
Moghreb Tetouan
0 : 0
FUS Rabat
02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
27 Sept
Moghreb Tetouan
0 : 0
Berkane
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
27 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 2
Moghreb Tetouan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Union Touarga 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Hassania Agadir 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
4 IR Tanger 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Raja Casablanca 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 COD Meknes 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
7 FAR Rabat 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Kawkab Marrakech 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Wydad Athletic 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Widad Temara 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
11 Amal Tiznit 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Moghreb Tetouan 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Berkane 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
14 FUS Rabat 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Renaissance Zemamra 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
16 Difaa El Jadidi 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)