Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Difaa El Jadidi vs Union Touarga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Difaa El Jadidi host Union Touarga in the Botola Pro. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Difaa El Jadidi at 1.38 goals for, 1.24 against; Union Touarga at 1.1 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Difaa El Jadidi slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 25, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.88) back Difaa El Jadidi to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Difaa El Jadidi
20%
Draws
40%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Difaa El Jadidi average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Union Touarga's 1.1.
  • Difaa El Jadidi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet 10%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Difaa El Jadidi Union Touarga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Union Touarga
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Union Touarga
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi
2:2
Jan 29, 2023 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Difaa El Jadidi 40 / 100
Union Touarga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Difaa El Jadidi Union Touarga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difaa El Jadidi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Union Touarga let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Difaa El Jadidi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Difaa El Jadidi VS Union Touarga
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Difaa El Jadidi

(Home)
25 Oct
Kawkab Marrakech
1 : 1
Difaa El Jadidi
17 Oct
Difaa El Jadidi
4 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
10 Oct
Amal Tiznit
2 : 5
Difaa El Jadidi
03 Oct
Difaa El Jadidi
0 : 2
Wydad Athletic
26 Sept
Difaa El Jadidi
2 : 6
COD Meknes
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Union Touarga

(Away)
24 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 1
Wydad Athletic
17 Oct
COD Meknes
1 : 0
Union Touarga
08 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 0
Berkane
02 Oct
Widad Temara
0 : 1
Union Touarga
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 COD Meknes 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
2 Kawkab Marrakech 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
3 Wydad Athletic 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
4 Hassania Agadir 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
5 IR Tanger 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
6 Maghreb Fez 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Difaa El Jadidi 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
8 Union Touarga 5 2 1 2 3:3 7
9 Widad Temara 5 2 0 3 6:4 6
10 Raja Casablanca 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
11 FUS Rabat 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 FAR Rabat 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
13 Amal Tiznit 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Berkane 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
15 Moghreb Tetouan 5 0 3 2 2:8 3
16 Renaissance Zemamra 5 0 1 4 5:11 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)