Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Difai Agsu vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Aliyev S.
35' Event
Novruzov N.
39' Event
Kamta K.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Difai Agsu and Lokbatan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Difai Agsu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Difai Agsu
30%
Draws
12%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Difai Agsu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Difai Agsu come out ahead of Lokbatan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Difai Agsu a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lokbatan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 10%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Difai Agsu Lokbatan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.18 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Difai Agsu
3:1
Feb 20, 2025 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Lokbatan
2:1
Nov 6, 2024 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Difai Agsu
4:2
Apr 4, 2024 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Lokbatan
1:2
Dec 26, 2023 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Difai Agsu
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Difai Agsu Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamta K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Novruzov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Difai Agsu 40 / 100
Lokbatan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Difai Agsu Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Difai Agsu scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Lokbatan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difai Agsu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Difai Agsu VS Lokbatan
1.5 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Difai Agsu

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
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Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Gancabasar 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)