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Differdange vs FC Rodange 91 Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange, Differdange
Wed, May 13, 2026
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Bruninho
90' Event
Schur K.
1' Event
Schur K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Differdange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Differdange
15%
Draws
27%
FC Rodange 91
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Differdange come out ahead of FC Rodange 91 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Differdange a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Differdange have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Differdange Clean Sheet 68%
FC Rodange 91 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Differdange FC Rodange 91
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.15 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Differdange vs FC Rodange 91
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Differdange
0:6
Nov 26, 2025 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs FC Rodange 91
2:2
May 4, 2025 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs FC Rodange 91
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Differdange
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Differdange Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FC Rodange 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Schur K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Differdange 95 / 100
FC Rodange 91 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Differdange FC Rodange 91

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Differdange scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Differdange remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FC Rodange 91 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Differdange VS FC Rodange 91
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Differdange

(Home)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

FC Rodange 91

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
0 : 1
FC Rodange 91
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0
FC Mamer
23 May
Racing Luxembourg
6 : 1
FC Rodange 91
17 May
FC Rodange 91
1 : 1
FC Mamer
13 May
Differdange
2 : 1
FC Rodange 91
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1