Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Differdange vs Ilves

Europe Europe

Conference League Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange, Differdange
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Bedouret J.
20'
Sub
Gomes Ricciulli J. P. In: Grilo M.
Out: Gomes Ricciulli J. P.
62'
Sub
Raap Y. In: Tiitinen O.
Out: Raap Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Differdange
17%
Draws
13%
Ilves
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Differdange come out ahead of Ilves on wins alone.
  • Model gives Differdange a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Differdange have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Differdange Clean Sheet 13%
Ilves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Differdange Ilves
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.57 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Ilves vs Differdange
3:1
Jul 8, 2026 Conference League
Differdange vs Ilves
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Differdange 66 / 100
Ilves 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Differdange Ilves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Differdange scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Ilves let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Differdange went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Differdange VS Ilves
1.57 Goals Scored 2.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Differdange

(Home)
16 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Differdange
08 Jul
Differdange
0 : 0
Ilves
04 Jul
Metz
1 : 2
Differdange
01 Jul
Differdange
2 : 0
Dudelange
28 Jun
Bissen
2 : 1
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Ilves

(Away)
23 Jul
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Ilves
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
16 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Differdange
08 Jul
Differdange
0 : 0
Ilves
04 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
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TBD-
TBD-
HJK-
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Coleraine-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
TBD-
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TBD-
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
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Quarter-finals
Tre Fiori-
TBD-
Floriana1
Drita1
Borac Banja Luka3
Petrocub Hincesti0
ML Vitebsk3
Sutjeska0
Flora1
TNS0
TBD-
Inter Escaldes-
Vardar2
Riga FC3
Bissen2
Gyor6
Basaksehir1
Inter Turku1
Vaduz4
Atletic Escaldes0
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Zalgiris0
TBD-
TBD-
Partizan4
UNA Strassen0
FK Panevezys1
Tobol1
Paks1
Panathinaikos2
Spartak Trnava0
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Vojvodina1
Ajax4
Shelbourne5
Kalju2
FCSB2
FK Auda Riga3
Aluminij1
Dinamo Tirana1
Zimbru Chisinau1
Noah1
BATE1
Sion1
Zeleznicar Pancevo0
Braga1
Neftci Baku2
Din. Minsk4
Valur1
Zrinjski0
GAIS1
Nordsjaelland0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
Zilina2
GKS Katowice1
AEK Larnaca0
Beitar Jerusalem1
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Alashkert1
CFR Cluj1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Universitatea Cluj2
Brann2
Dila Gori0
Apollon Limassol4
Lugano1
Dukagjini0
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
Rakow Czestochowa3
Valletta1
TBD-
TBD-
HJK5
Coleraine0
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
Malisheva2
Hibernian0
Bravo2
Shkendija Tetovo1
IFK Goteborg1
Levadia2
LNZ Cherkasy0
Gent0
Paide Linnameeskond1
Zira FK0
FC Santa Coloma1
Rapid Vienna3
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
TBD-
TBD-
Debrecen1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Polissya Zhytomyr3
FC Copenhagen3
Varazdin3
Jablonec2
RFS4
Vestri1
Rijeka1
Derry City0
Stjarnan1
Ilves0
TBD-
TBD-
Dun. Streda1
Velez Mostar0
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Semi-finals
Tre Fiori-
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Inter Escaldes-
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Final
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