Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Digenis Akritas vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 Makario Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Anderson
29' Event
Brito A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Sema K. In: Sunjic I.
Out: Sema K.

AI Match Summary

Pafos in this Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Digenis Akritas
30%
Draws
47%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pafos lately — more wins on the board than Digenis Akritas.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Pafos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pafos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Digenis Akritas Clean Sheet 25%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Digenis Akritas Pafos
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Digenis Akritas vs Pafos
0:3
Apr 12, 2008 Division 2
Pafos vs Digenis Akritas
0:2
Jan 5, 2008 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Pafos
0:1
Jan 6, 2007 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Digenis Akritas
0:1
Aug 26, 2006 Cyprus League
Digenis Akritas vs Pafos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Digenis Akritas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Digenis Akritas 13 / 100
Pafos 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Digenis Akritas Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Digenis Akritas scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Digenis Akritas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pafos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Digenis Akritas VS Pafos
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Digenis Akritas

(Home)
19 Sept
Digenis Akritas
0 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
12 Sept
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 0
Digenis Akritas
25 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 1
AEZ Zakakiou
21 Apr
Ethnikos Latsion
2 : 1
Digenis Akritas
04 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Page 1 of 6

Pafos

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2