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Digiesse PraiaTortora vs ASD Modica Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Digiesse PraiaTortora host ASD Modica Calcio in the Serie D - Group I. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Digiesse PraiaTortora at 1.33 goals for, 0.67 against; ASD Modica Calcio at 1.43 for, 0.71 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.89 xG vs 0.91) point toward Digiesse PraiaTortora. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Digiesse PraiaTortora
30%
Draws
42%
ASD Modica Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASD Modica Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • ASD Modica Calcio have won more games recently than Digiesse PraiaTortora.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on ASD Modica Calcio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Digiesse PraiaTortora Clean Sheet 24%
ASD Modica Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Digiesse PraiaTortora ASD Modica Calcio
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 2 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Digiesse PraiaTortora 21 / 100
ASD Modica Calcio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Digiesse PraiaTortora ASD Modica Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Modica Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Digiesse PraiaTortora's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Digiesse PraiaTortora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASD Modica Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 7 matches.

ASD Modica Calcio's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Digiesse PraiaTortora VS ASD Modica Calcio
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 38%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Digiesse PraiaTortora

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 2

ASD Modica Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
ASD Modica Calcio
3 : 0
Enna
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0
Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)