Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dijon vs Chateauroux

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Domingues J.
Assist: Lacroix L.
24'
Bernard Q.
26' Event
Piquionne L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Chateauroux in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chateauroux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Dijon
35%
Draws
13%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dijon have won more games recently than Chateauroux.
  • Win probability leans Dijon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dijon Clean Sheet 20%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Chateauroux
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 0.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Chateauroux
1:2
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Dijon
0:0
May 2, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Dijon
3:3
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Chateauroux
4:0
Feb 9, 2024 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Chateauroux
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingues J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Chateauroux Compare

Top Goalscorer Chahid Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 49 / 100
Chateauroux 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chateauroux let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Dijon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Chateauroux
2.25 Goals Scored 0.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 14%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Dijon
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Chateauroux

(Away)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)