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Dijon vs Metz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dijon host Metz in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dijon at 1.9 goals for, 1.21 against; Metz at 1.5 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Metz slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Dijon. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dijon
35%
Draws
28%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Metz.
  • Dijon are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Dijon Clean Sheet 16%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Metz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Metz
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 Ligue 2
Metz vs Dijon
1:2
May 2, 2021 Ligue 1
Dijon vs Metz
1:5
Nov 8, 2020 Ligue 1
Metz vs Dijon
1:1
Aug 7, 2020 Club Friendly
Dijon vs Metz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 36 / 100
Metz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Metz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Dijon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Metz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
Page 1 of 6

Metz

(Away)
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1
Metz
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)