Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dijon vs Orleans

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Lemaitre M.
37' Event
Tavares J.
Assist: Barreto M.
46'
Sub
Sylla M. In: El Khoumisti F.
Out: Sylla M.

AI Match Summary

Dijon in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dijon
35%
Draws
45%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orleans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Orleans.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dijon Clean Sheet 19%
Orleans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Orleans
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Orleans
3:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Dijon
1:2
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Orleans
2:2
Oct 4, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Dijon
1:1
Apr 12, 2024 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Orleans
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingues J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tavares J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Diako M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 32 / 100
Orleans 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orleans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Orleans has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dijon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Orleans
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
21 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Dijon
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
Page 1 of 6

Orleans

(Away)
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)