Sport Picks

France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Gérard

Orleans

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dijon play Orleans in the National 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dijon averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Orleans averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Dijon won 3, Orleans won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Dijon and 0.94 for Orleans. This points to a Dijon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Dijon

35%

Draws

27%

Orleans

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Dijon picked up more points recently compared to Orleans.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Dijon Clean Sheet 24%

Orleans Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dijon	Orleans
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	16	14
Draws	9	8
Losses	3	7
Goals Scored	1.61	1.55
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligue 3

Dijon vs Orleans

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Dijon

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 3

Dijon vs Orleans

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Oct 4, 2024 Ligue 3

Orleans vs Dijon

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Apr 12, 2024 Ligue 3

Dijon vs Orleans

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingues J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Tavares J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Diako M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ribeiro A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 39 / 100

Orleans 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dijon Orleans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dijon or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dijon attacking → ← attacking Orleans

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Orleans let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dijon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orleans lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 50

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dijon	32	18	11	3	52:25	65
2	Sochaux	32	16	10	6	51:26	58
3	Rouen	32	14	13	5	43:29	55
4	Fleury-Merogis	32	15	9	8	47:30	54
5	Versailles	32	15	8	9	46:34	53
6	Orleans	32	14	9	9	42:42	51
7	Le Puy-en-Velay	32	12	11	9	45:38	47
8	Caen	32	8	16	8	39:34	40
9	Concarneau	32	8	14	10	32:37	38
10	Valenciennes	32	10	8	14	35:44	37
11	Aubagne FC	32	9	10	13	38:46	37
12	Villefranche	32	10	7	15	34:45	37
13	Quevilly	32	8	9	15	34:45	33
14	Paris 13 Atletico	32	7	11	14	26:41	32
15	Bourg Peronnas	32	8	7	17	25:44	31
16	Chateauroux	32	6	13	13	35:49	30
17	Stade Briochin	32	5	12	15	35:50	27