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Dijon vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Sabaly I. In: Khaoui S.
Out: Sabaly I.
63'
Sub
Lago E. In: Barka Y.
Out: Lago E.
64'
Sub
Bellon P. In: Chouchane S.
Out: Bellon P.

AI Match Summary

Dijon in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dijon
15%
Draws
21%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Red Star haven't matched Dijon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dijon a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dijon Clean Sheet 11%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Red Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Red Star
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Dijon
0:2
Nov 24, 2023 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Red Star
3:1
May 6, 2016 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Dijon
3:2
Dec 18, 2015 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Red Star
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Barka Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 83 / 100
Red Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dijon scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Red Star let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Dijon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Red Star
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
06 Nov
Dijon
1 : 0
Red Star
30 Oct
Grenoble
1 : 3
Dijon
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
16 Oct
Reims
4 : 2
Dijon
12 Oct
Dijon
4 : 2
Metz
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
06 Nov
Dijon
1 : 0
Red Star
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1
Red Star
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 12 9 1 2 25:11 28
2 Nancy 12 8 1 3 17:9 25
3 Montpellier 12 7 3 2 18:9 24
4 Reims 12 5 6 1 24:15 21
5 Pau 12 6 2 4 16:13 20
6 Dijon 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
7 Metz 12 4 5 3 20:19 17
8 Red Star 12 5 2 5 14:17 17
9 Annecy 12 5 1 6 14:18 16
10 Dunkerque 12 4 3 5 17:17 15
11 Guingamp 12 4 2 6 16:18 14
12 Boulogne 12 2 7 3 10:8 13
13 Rodez 12 4 1 7 17:23 13
14 Nantes 12 3 3 6 14:18 12
15 Clermont 12 1 8 3 11:15 11
16 Sochaux 12 2 5 5 8:15 11
17 Grenoble 12 3 2 7 13:22 11
18 Laval 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)