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Stadium Background

Dijon W vs Toulouse W

France France

Coupe de France Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dijon W play Toulouse W in the Coupe de France Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dijon W averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Toulouse W averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Dijon W won 4, Toulouse W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Dijon W and 1.94 for Toulouse W. This points to a Dijon W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dijon W
39%
Draws
30%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dijon W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Toulouse W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Coupe de France Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dijon W Clean Sheet 10%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon W Toulouse W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Dijon W vs Toulouse W
4:1
Mar 11, 2018 Seconde Ligue Women
Dijon W vs Toulouse W
3:0
Oct 8, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Dijon W
0:2
Apr 23, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Dijon W vs Toulouse W
2:1
Nov 12, 2016 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Dijon W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wu Chengshu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Declercq L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapassouse L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon W 30 / 100
Toulouse W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon W Toulouse W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon W scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Toulouse W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dijon W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Toulouse W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dijon W VS Toulouse W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dijon W4
Toulouse W1
Rennes W0
Fleury 91 W5
PSG W2
Lille W0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W1
Montpellier W2
Troyes W1
Chatenoy W3
Caen W3
La Roche W2
Roubaix W1
Saint-Malo W2
Lens W0
Paris FC W2
Bergerac W0
Nantes W9
Lorient W1
Le Mans W7
Albi-Marssac W1
Grenoble W2
Esperance Pernoise W0
Strasbourg W2
Thonon Evian W0
Marseille W1
St Etienne W0
Lyon W6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W1
Nice W4
Le Havre W4
Auxerre W1
1/8-finals
Dijon W1
Fleury 91 W0
PSG W5
Montpellier W0
Chatenoy W1
Caen W2
Saint-Malo W0
Paris FC W1
Nantes W5
Le Mans W0
Grenoble W0
Strasbourg W1
Marseille W1
Lyon W5
Nice W1
Le Havre W2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W1
PSG W2
Caen W0
Paris FC W2
Nantes W0
Strasbourg W1
Lyon W7
Le Havre W0
Semi-finals
PSG W2
Paris FC W1
Strasbourg W0
Lyon W6
Final
PSG W1
Lyon W4