Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dila Gori vs Samgurali

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Vieira Lopes P. R.
45' Event
Tali A.
46'
Sub
Krasovski D. In: Siradze I.
Out: Krasovski D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dila Gori
20%
Draws
10%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dila Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Dila Gori have won more games recently than Samgurali.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dila Gori taking it.
  • Dila Gori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dila Gori, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dila Gori here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Dila Gori Clean Sheet 68%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dila Gori Samgurali
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
1:3
Aug 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:1
May 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:3
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dila Gori
0:1
Nov 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Samgurali
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dila Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Tali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobakhidze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsetskhladze N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dila Gori 95 / 100
Samgurali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dila Gori Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dila Gori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Dila Gori scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Dila Gori stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dila Gori VS Samgurali
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dila Gori

(Home)
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 7

Samgurali

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Samtredia -
FC Rustavi -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -