Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dimitrovgrad vs Rakovski 2011

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2017/2018 game between Dimitrovgrad and Rakovski 2011 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dimitrovgrad
15%
Draws
42%
Rakovski 2011
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dimitrovgrad are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Rakovski 2011
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1.3 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rakovski 2011
3:4
May 5, 2018 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rakovski 2011
4:1
Oct 21, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Dimitrovgrad
3:1
Feb 25, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Dimitrovgrad
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 65 / 100
Rakovski 2011 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Rakovski 2011

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakovski 2011 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Dimitrovgrad found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Rakovski 2011 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Rakovski 2011
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
Page 1 of 6

Rakovski 2011

(Away)
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1
Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5
Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3
Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arda 34 30 4 0 142:7 94
2 Zagorets 34 22 5 7 67:27 71
3 Radnevo 34 17 8 9 63:34 59
4 Rozova Dolina 34 17 6 11 64:41 57
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 17 5 12 55:51 56
6 Sokol Markovo 34 16 5 13 63:49 53
7 Karnobat 34 16 4 14 65:50 52
8 Levski Karlovo 34 16 3 15 51:58 51
9 Borislav Parvomay 34 15 5 14 65:62 50
10 Asenovets 34 14 7 13 53:55 49
11 Dimitrovgrad 34 15 3 16 46:62 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 7 15 33:53 43
13 Svilengrad 1921 34 13 4 17 52:89 43
14 Evrokolezh 34 12 6 16 63:71 42
15 Yambol 1915 34 11 5 18 62:59 38
16 Rakovski 2011 34 11 2 21 44:65 35
17 Vereya 2 34 10 3 21 45:88 33
18 Yagoda 34 0 2 32 15:127 2
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)