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Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Dimitrovgrad and Sozopol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dimitrovgrad
20%
Draws
57%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad haven't matched Sozopol's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sozopol's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Sozopol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad
3:1
May 2, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad
5:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 14 / 100
Sozopol 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dimitrovgrad found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Sozopol has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Dimitrovgrad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Sozopol
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

Sozopol

(Away)
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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