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Dimitrovgrad vs Yambol 1915 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Dimitrovgrad in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dimitrovgrad
15%
Draws
64%
Yambol 1915
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yambol 1915

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yambol 1915 lately — more wins on the board than Dimitrovgrad.
  • Yambol 1915 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Yambol 1915
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.31 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.24 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1
Apr 1, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Yambol 1915
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Dimitrovgrad
4:0
May 3, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Dimitrovgrad
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Yambol 1915
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 10 / 100
Yambol 1915 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Yambol 1915

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yambol 1915 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dimitrovgrad scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Yambol 1915's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dimitrovgrad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Yambol 1915
1.5 Goals Scored 3.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

Yambol 1915

(Away)
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7
Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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