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Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Dimitrovgrad and Zagorets finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dimitrovgrad
15%
Draws
51%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zagorets come out ahead of Dimitrovgrad on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 13%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Zagorets
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Dimitrovgrad
2:0
May 10, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 30 / 100
Zagorets 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dimitrovgrad scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Zagorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Dimitrovgrad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Zagorets
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
15 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

Zagorets

(Away)
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 6 6 0 0 20:7 18
2 Spartak Plovdiv 6 6 0 0 17:6 18
3 Maritsa Milevo 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
4 Yambol 1915 6 4 1 1 17:7 13
5 OFC Haskovo 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
6 Sozopol 7 3 1 3 14:11 10
7 Gigant Saedinenie 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
8 Zagorets 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Rodopa Smolyan 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
10 Rozova Dolina 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
11 Lok. Plovdiv II 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 Dimitrovgrad 6 2 0 4 10:11 6
13 Atletik Kuklen 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
14 Botev II 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
15 Neftochimic Burgas 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 6 0 2 4 6:18 2
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
18 Levski Karlovo 6 0 0 6 2:16 0
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)