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Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Dimitrovgrad and Zagorets finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dimitrovgrad
22%
Draws
18%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zagorets come out ahead of Dimitrovgrad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dimitrovgrad's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Zagorets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Dimitrovgrad
2:0
May 10, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Dimitrovgrad vs Zagorets
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 56 / 100
Zagorets 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorets let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Zagorets registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dimitrovgrad found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Zagorets
1 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
29 May
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
23 May
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
16 May
Maritsa Milevo
1 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
13 May
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 2
Levski Karlovo
09 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
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Zagorets

(Away)
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1
Zagorets
23 May
Zagorets
2 : 4
Nesebar
16 May
Rozova Dolina
2 : 1
Zagorets
13 May
Zagorets
5 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223
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