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Din. Minsk vs Russia U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sedko P.
11'
Rozhkov I.
44' Event
Chupayov A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Din. Minsk and Russia U21 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Din. Minsk
15%
Draws
54%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Russia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk Russia U21
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.66 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Friendly International
Din. Minsk vs Russia U21
4:3
Jan 18, 2005 CIS Cup
Russia U21 vs Din. Minsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sedko P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svirepa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koksharov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chupayov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 32 / 100
Russia U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Din. Minsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Russia U21 let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Din. Minsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS Russia U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
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Russia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
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