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Din. Samarkand vs Buxoro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Samarkand host Buxoro in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Buxoro have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Din. Samarkand have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Din. Samarkand have won 2 to Buxoro's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Buxoro. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Din. Samarkand
30%
Draws
23%
Buxoro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Din. Samarkand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Buxoro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Din. Samarkand's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 17%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Samarkand Buxoro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Din. Samarkand
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Buxoro
4:1
May 17, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Din. Samarkand
2:2
Nov 7, 2021 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Buxoro
1:2
Sep 23, 2021 Pro Liga
Buxoro vs Din. Samarkand
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 48 / 100
Buxoro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Samarkand Buxoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Din. Samarkand scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Buxoro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Din. Samarkand stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Samarkand VS Buxoro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Samarkand

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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Buxoro

(Away)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)